Per capita Medicare spending, 2023-2087
| Alternative fiscal scenario (2012$) | Ryan voucher (2012$) | Difference (2012$) | Difference/ alt. fisc. scen. (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $6,765 | $6,048 | $718 | 11% |
| 2024 | $6,934 | $6,137 | $797 | 11% |
| 2025 | $7,096 | $6,218 | $878 | 12% |
| 2026 | $7,250 | $6,291 | $959 | 13% |
| 2027 | $7,458 | $6,410 | $1,049 | 14% |
| 2028 | $7,613 | $6,480 | $1,133 | 15% |
| 2029 | $7,829 | $6,600 | $1,229 | 16% |
| 2030 | $8,015 | $6,693 | $1,322 | 16% |
| 2031 | $8,235 | $6,813 | $1,423 | 17% |
| 2032 | $8,447 | $6,923 | $1,524 | 18% |
| 2033 | $8,670 | $7,041 | $1,629 | 19% |
| 2034 | $8,929 | $7,184 | $1,744 | 20% |
| 2035 | $9,174 | $7,315 | $1,859 | 20% |
| 2036 | $9,431 | $7,452 | $1,979 | 21% |
| 2037 | $9,698 | $7,595 | $2,103 | 22% |
| 2038 | $9,995 | $7,759 | $2,236 | 22% |
| 2039 | $10,254 | $7,890 | $2,364 | 23% |
| 2040 | $10,545 | $8,044 | $2,502 | 24% |
| 2041 | $10,844 | $8,201 | $2,643 | 24% |
| 2042 | $11,110 | $8,331 | $2,780 | 25% |
| 2043 | $11,441 | $8,506 | $2,935 | 26% |
| 2044 | $11,776 | $8,682 | $3,094 | 26% |
| 2045 | $12,114 | $8,857 | $3,257 | 27% |
| 2046 | $12,438 | $9,019 | $3,419 | 27% |
| 2047 | $12,747 | $9,168 | $3,579 | 28% |
| 2048 | $13,095 | $9,342 | $3,752 | 29% |
| 2049 | $13,461 | $9,527 | $3,934 | 29% |
| 2050 | $13,827 | $9,709 | $4,119 | 30% |
| 2051 | $14,210 | $9,900 | $4,310 | 30% |
| 2052 | $14,557 | $10,063 | $4,494 | 31% |
| 2053 | $14,937 | $10,247 | $4,691 | 31% |
| 2054 | $15,316 | $10,426 | $4,889 | 32% |
| 2055 | $15,676 | $10,592 | $5,084 | 32% |
| 2056 | $16,095 | $10,794 | $5,301 | 33% |
| 2057 | $16,553 | $11,020 | $5,533 | 33% |
| 2058 | $16,963 | $11,210 | $5,752 | 34% |
| 2059 | $17,399 | $11,415 | $5,983 | 34% |
| 2060 | $17,866 | $11,638 | $6,227 | 35% |
| 2061 | $18,310 | $11,844 | $6,466 | 35% |
| 2062 | $18,789 | $12,069 | $6,720 | 36% |
| 2063 | $19,256 | $12,283 | $6,972 | 36% |
| 2064 | $19,779 | $12,531 | $7,248 | 37% |
| 2065 | $20,291 | $12,769 | $7,522 | 37% |
| 2066 | $20,865 | $13,043 | $7,822 | 37% |
| 2067 | $21,393 | $13,284 | $8,108 | 38% |
| 2068 | $21,901 | $13,512 | $8,390 | 38% |
| 2069 | $22,456 | $13,765 | $8,691 | 39% |
| 2070 | $22,980 | $13,997 | $8,983 | 39% |
| 2071 | $23,640 | $14,309 | $9,331 | 39% |
| 2072 | $24,259 | $14,592 | $9,667 | 40% |
| 2073 | $24,805 | $14,829 | $9,976 | 40% |
| 2074 | $25,481 | $15,141 | $10,339 | 41% |
| 2075 | $26,177 | $15,463 | $10,714 | 41% |
| 2076 | $26,782 | $15,728 | $11,054 | 41% |
| 2077 | $27,472 | $16,039 | $11,433 | 42% |
| 2078 | $28,239 | $16,392 | $11,847 | 42% |
| 2079 | $28,867 | $16,662 | $12,205 | 42% |
| 2080 | $29,576 | $16,977 | $12,599 | 43% |
| 2081 | $30,395 | $17,350 | $13,045 | 43% |
| 2082 | $31,080 | $17,644 | $13,435 | 43% |
| 2083 | $31,852 | $17,986 | $13,866 | 44% |
| 2084 | $32,646 | $18,338 | $14,308 | 44% |
| 2085 | $33,392 | $18,661 | $14,732 | 44% |
| 2086 | $34,287 | $19,062 | $15,225 | 44% |
| 2087 | $35,151 | $19,443 | $15,707 | 45% |
Source: EPI calculations based on U.S. Congressional Budget Office, "The Long-Term Budgetary Impact of Paths for Federal Revenues and Spending Specified by Chairman Ryan" (March 2012) and "Long Term Budget Outlook" (June 5, 2012)