How many jobs could the AHCA cost your state?: Potential fewer jobs per state due to drag on growth from the AHCA, 2017–2022

State Average annual job loss as share of state employment 2017 potential job loss 2018 potential job loss 2019 potential job loss 2020 potential job loss 2021 potential job loss 2022 potential job loss
Alabama 0.28% 824 1,680 2,685 7,318 10,168 10,999
Alaska 0.32% 101 243 433 1,416 2,018 2,324
Arizona 1.09% 2,272 9,657 14,274 38,106 52,359 60,174
Arkansas 0.63% 676 2,545 3,783 10,060 13,826 15,745
California 0.61% 10,714 30,513 46,280 130,712 183,356 207,072
Colorado 1.04% 1,992 8,507 12,778 35,082 48,443 55,989
Connecticut 0.54% 880 2,198 3,565 11,728 16,736 19,212
Delaware 0.57% 235 774 1,202 3,381 4,698 5,362
Washington D.C. 0.15% 135 67 303 1,542 2,321 2,691
Florida 0.57% 7,899 16,232 24,922 63,356 86,987 92,017
Georgia 0.43% 2,689 5,983 9,147 24,702 34,246 37,180
Hawaii 0.46% 228 792 1,288 3,908 5,494 6,389
Idaho 0.60% 554 1,464 2,178 5,500 7,516 8,182
Illinois 0.59% 3,217 10,385 15,954 45,842 63,956 73,076
Indiana 0.49% 1,482 4,873 7,349 19,680 27,116 30,610
Iowa 0.33% 468 1,483 2,335 6,682 9,314 10,639
Kansas 0.20% 457 711 1,250 3,735 5,282 5,698
Kentucky 2.19% 2,747 14,402 20,755 54,112 73,919 85,647
Louisiana 1.16% 1,932 7,703 11,319 29,684 40,677 46,379
Maine 0.32% 355 615 976 2,531 3,497 3,637
Maryland 0.73% 1,664 5,139 8,442 25,649 36,094 41,668
Massachusetts 0.45% 1,732 3,872 6,551 20,978 29,841 33,901
Michigan 0.74% 3,003 10,497 15,712 41,877 57,618 65,286
Minnesota 0.40% 876 3,308 4,997 15,146 21,300 24,785
Mississippi 0.42% 540 1,561 2,360 6,234 8,579 9,544
Missouri 0.33% 1,358 2,975 4,509 12,145 16,835 18,207
Montana 1.80% 653 2,897 4,195 10,844 14,807 16,956
Nebraska 0.13% 313 322 608 1,803 2,563 2,596
Nevada 0.94% 999 4,074 6,006 15,887 21,800 24,938
New Hampshire 0.62% 423 1,221 1,920 5,417 7,539 8,522
New Jersey 1.14% 3,622 13,705 20,877 59,926 83,463 96,413
New Mexico 2.94% 1,608 8,375 12,053 31,328 42,772 49,513
New York 0.37% 2,126 11,824 16,144 43,426 60,963 71,639
North Carolina 0.60% 3,068 8,479 12,878 34,015 46,838 51,882
North Dakota 0.46% 188 601 934 2,624 3,646 4,151
Ohio 0.72% 3,110 12,708 18,983 51,385 70,803 81,385
Oklahoma 0.20% 569 877 1,510 4,365 6,144 6,544
Oregon 1.77% 2,380 11,125 16,173 42,352 57,948 66,748
Pennsylvania 0.43% 2,825 7,259 11,503 32,922 45,986 51,586
Rhode Island 1.31% 508 2,101 3,114 8,326 11,447 13,136
South Carolina 0.23% 927 1,426 2,344 6,267 8,718 9,011
South Dakota 0.13% 108 125 239 748 1,069 1,128
Tennessee 0.57% 1,700 5,453 8,239 22,057 30,397 34,241
Texas 0.26% 5,484 8,780 13,982 41,197 58,345 62,143
Utah 0.32% 812 1,465 2,313 6,006 8,292 8,680
Vermont 0.74% 229 760 1,137 3,011 4,140 4,664
Virginia 0.19% 1,677 2,792 3,676 8,882 13,364 13,768
Washington 1.04% 2,612 10,759 16,175 44,300 61,163 70,501
West Virginia 1.45% 769 3,832 5,545 14,499 19,823 22,914
Wisconsin 0.19% 1,056 1,528 2,618 7,380 10,360 10,838
Wyoming 0.16% 90 110 199 582 824 853

Map is colored to illustrate relative impact by showing average annual job loss as a share of total state employment.

The analysis is done at the congressional district (CD) level, then the summation of effects in each CD is undertaken to get statewide effects. For notes on the CD analysis, see the table note to Table 1.

Source: Author's analysis of U.S. Census Bureau (2013), U.S. International Trade Commission (USITC 2016a), Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS 2016e), and BLS Employment Projections program (BLS-EP 2014a and 2014b).

View the underlying data on epi.org.