Projected 2030 count and share of workers below minimum wage and minimum-to-median-wage ratio in NYC for $30 minimum wage and other thresholds
| Scenario | Count of workers below threshold | Share of NYC wage-earning workforce | Minimum-to-median-wage ratio |
|---|---|---|---|
| $25 by 2030 | 1,358,700 | 29.7% | 0.64 |
| $28 by 2030 | 1,579,900 | 34.5% | 0.71 |
| $30 by 2030 | 1,680,900 | 36.7% | 0.76 |
| $32 by 2030 | 1,868,200 | 40.8% | 0.82 |
Notes: Assumes annual nominal wage growth rate of 3.3% based on CBO projections of Employment Cost Index. Annual population growth of 0.97%.
Source: EPI analysis of 2023 1-year ACS data and CBO January 2025 Economic Projections.