Testimony | Wages, Incomes, and Wealth

Delaware’s Low-Wage Workers: Testimony of David Cooper, Senior Economic Analyst, Economic Policy Institute, before the Delaware Low-Wage Worker Task Force, August 27, 2014, Chase Center, Wilmington, Delaware

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Thank you for holding this hearing and for allowing me to speak with you today. I’m going to briefly talk about what it actually costs to make ends meet in Delaware, discuss how workers are faring, give some description of Delaware’s low-wage workforce, and speak a bit about how wages in Delaware compare to several benchmarks.

What does it really take to make ends meet in Delaware?

When measuring economic adequacy, the most commonly cited metric is the federal poverty line. This threshold is supposed to represent the income level needed to be just free of outright material deprivation. Conceived in the 1950s and simply adjusted for inflation since then, the poverty line can give some sense of how overall economic well-being has changed over time. However, researchers universally agree that the federal poverty line is a woefully inadequate measure of what it actually takes a typical family to survive today.

As such, a number of alternative measures have been developed, but perhaps the most useful in assessing true economic security is a measure developed by my colleagues at the Economic Policy Institute, called the Family Budget Calculator. This calculator estimates the level of family income required to attain a secure, yet modest standard of living. It incorporates community-specific costs of housing, food, child care, transportation, health care, taxes, and other necessities, and provides thresholds for six different family types, localized to 615 communities throughout the United States.

In Delaware, a one-adult, one-child family would need annual income of $52,351 to meet the family budget threshold. This equates to an hourly wage of $25.17 for a full-time, year-round worker. A two-adult, two-child family would need $71,171 in annual income to be above the family budget threshold. This equates to an hourly wage of $17.11 per hour for each parent.1 In 2013, an hourly wage of $17.11 would be equal to roughly the 48th percentile wage in Delaware’s wage distribution.2 This means that 48 percent—nearly half—of Delaware’s workers earn too little to meet this threshold.

To be clear, the Family Budget Calculator is, in some ways, an aspirational measure—it is the level of income required to have a secure, yet modest standard of living—not a marker of outright destitution. For example, it assumes that all families will be able to own one car, yet it does not assume any expenses for television or Internet service, nor does it include any savings whatsoever. Even in the best of economic times, many workers will not earn enough to reach this level of economic security, but it is instructive to see just how many workers in Delaware are below it.3

Who are Delaware’s low-wage workers?

If we want to look more closely at the workers who are truly living with dangerously low levels of income—levels of income that would constitute material deprivation—it’s useful to examine the bottom 20 percent of wage earners. In 2013, the 20th percentile wage in Delaware was $10.06 per hour. Again, this means 20 percent of Delaware workers earn less than $10.06 per hour, and 80 percent earn more. A wage of $10.06 per hour equates to an annual pre-tax income of $20,925 for a full-time, year-round worker. (For context, the federal poverty line for a family of three is $19,530; for a family of four, $23,550. Thus, someone at the 20th percentile wage in Delaware would be just above the official poverty line for a family of three, but below it for a family of four.)

There are roughly 74,000 such low-wage workers in Delaware. (All statistics are reported in the appendix table.) Of these workers, almost 60 percent (58.8 percent) are women, more than a quarter are parents (26.2 percent), and more than half work full-time (52.4 percent). The largest shares are in service and sales occupations, and the majority of these workers are in the retail and leisure and hospitality industries.4

Despite common perceptions, the vast majority of low-wage workers are not teenagers. In Delaware, 85 percent are at least 20 years old, and 57 percent are at least 25 years old. Most have completed high school (79.3 percent), and over 40 percent have some college experience (41.8 percent).

While the majority of these low-wage workers are white (54.4 percent), black and Hispanic workers are disproportionately represented. African Americans comprise roughly 20 percent of Delaware workers, yet account for 26 percent of low-wage workers. Similarly, Hispanics and Latinos make up about 8 percent of Delaware wage earners, yet account for 16 percent of the low-wage workforce.

These workers overwhelming come from low- to moderate-income families: Nearly half (46.3 percent) have total family incomes of less than $40,000 per year, and almost two-thirds (64.2 percent) have total family incomes below $60,000 per year.

Finally, I mentioned that more than a quarter of these low-wage workers have children. In fact, these low-wage workers are parents to 33,000 Delaware children, roughly 16 percent of all children in the state.

Putting these low wages in context

It’s important to note that over the past 40 years, Delaware’s workers have become far more productive, yet their pay has not kept pace with their ability to generate more income from each hour of work. As shown in Figure A, from 1979 through 2013, average output per worker expanded 64 percent for workers in Delaware, yet median hourly compensation grew only 15.6 percent.5 For low-wage workers, it was even worse: From 1979 to 2013 workers in the bottom fifth of the wage distribution in Delaware actually saw their wages fall by 5.5 percent (not shown). In other words, despite the fact that low-wage workers in Delaware are older, better educated, and producing more income for their employers than their counterparts 40 years ago, they are in fact being paid less today.

Figure A

Growth of real hourly median compensation for production/nonsupervisory workers and productivity, U.S. and Delaware, 1979–2013

Delaware productivity Delaware hourly compensation U.S. productivity U.S. hourly compensation
1979 0.0% 0.0% 0% 0%
1980 -1.8% -8.4% 0% -1%
1981 0.8% -2.4% 2% -3%
1982 1.6% -3.0% 2% -1%
1983 5.7% -0.4% 5% -1%
1984 7.5% -6.0% 7% -1%
1985 10.0% -3.8% 9% 1%
1986 10.3% 1.6% 12% 3%
1987 11.6% 0.8% 12% 3%
1988 12.2% 2.8% 14% 2%
1989 16.5% 6.2% 15% 2%
1990 19.5% 5.1% 17% 3%
1991 26.9% 6.9% 18% 4%
1992 28.7% 11.1% 22% 6%
1993 24.4% 6.1% 23% 5%
1994 29.9% 1.4% 24% 3%
1995 31.7% 3.7% 24% 2%
1996 31.6% 6.6% 27% 1%
1997 31.2% 4.8% 29% 2%
1998 34.0% 10.3% 32% 5%
1999 38.9% 9.9% 36% 8%
2000 42.8% 12.8% 40% 8%
2001 44.1% 17.3% 43% 11%
2002 43.0% 22.7% 47% 13%
2003 47.7% 18.7% 52% 15%
2004 52.5% 20.7% 56% 15%
2005 53.3% 20.4% 59% 14%
2006 55.8% 16.5% 60% 14%
2007 56.0% 21.2% 62% 13%
2008 49.0% 18.5% 63% 13%
2009 64.2% 20.8% 68% 16%
2010 65.8% 22.2% 72% 15%
2011 64.3% 15.5% 73% 11%
2012 64.3% 15.2% 74% 10%
2013 64.4% 15.6% 76% 11%
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Source: EPI analysis of unpublished total economy data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Productivity and Costs program; employment data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics; wage data from the Current Population Survey; and compensation data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, State/National Income and Product Accounts public data series

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Although there are many factors that have contributed to this stagnation or decline in wages, the eroding value of the minimum wage is a highly significant factor, particularly in the bottom half of the wage distribution. At $7.25 per hour, the current federal minimum wage is worth about 25 percent less today than it was worth in the 1960s, after adjusting for inflation. Delaware recently enacted legislation that will raise its state minimum wage to $8.25 per hour by 2016. Based on projections for inflation, this would be the same as having a minimum wage today of $7.95. By comparison, at its highest point in the late 1960s, the federal minimum wage was worth roughly $10 per hour in today’s dollars. In fact, as shown in Figure B, had the minimum wage grown at the same pace as productivity since 1968, it would be around $19 per hour today.6

Figure B

Real value of the federal minimum wage, 1968–2014 and 2014–2016* under scheduled Delaware increase to $8.25, compared with its value had it grown at various other rates since 1968 (2014 dollars)

Actual minimum wage and projected DE increase Inflation Average wages for typical U.S. workers** U.S. average worker net productivity
1968  $ 9.53  $ 9.53  $ 9.53  $ 9.53
1969  $ 9.12  $ 9.53  $ 9.72  $ 9.57
1970  $ 8.70  $ 9.53  $ 9.79  $ 9.70
1971  $ 8.33  $ 9.53  $ 10.02  $ 10.06
1972  $ 8.09  $ 9.53  $ 10.45  $ 10.33
1973  $ 7.61  $ 9.53  $ 10.43  $ 10.58
1974  $ 8.65  $ 9.53  $ 10.15  $ 10.42
1975  $ 8.39  $ 9.53  $ 10.01  $ 10.64
1976  $ 8.69  $ 9.53  $ 10.13  $ 10.94
1977  $ 8.17  $ 9.53  $ 10.24  $ 11.07
1978  $ 8.81  $ 9.53  $ 10.36  $ 11.18
1979  $ 8.80  $ 9.53  $ 10.20  $ 11.19
1980  $ 8.47  $ 9.53  $ 9.91  $ 11.11
1981  $ 8.36  $ 9.53  $ 9.83  $ 11.35
1982  $ 7.88  $ 9.53  $ 9.81  $ 11.18
1983  $ 7.56  $ 9.53  $ 9.80  $ 11.52
1984  $ 7.26  $ 9.53  $ 9.75  $ 11.82
1985  $ 7.02  $ 9.53  $ 9.70  $ 12.02
1986  $ 6.90  $ 9.53  $ 9.74  $ 12.26
1987  $ 6.67  $ 9.53  $ 9.64  $ 12.32
1988  $ 6.43  $ 9.53  $ 9.61  $ 12.47
1989  $ 6.17  $ 9.53  $ 9.56  $ 12.57
1990  $ 6.66  $ 9.53  $ 9.48  $ 12.74
1991  $ 7.20  $ 9.53  $ 9.43  $ 12.85
1992  $ 7.02  $ 9.53  $ 9.42  $ 13.31
1993  $ 6.85  $ 9.53  $ 9.43  $ 13.36
1994  $ 6.70  $ 9.53  $ 9.48  $ 13.49
1995  $ 6.55  $ 9.53  $ 9.51  $ 13.49
1996  $ 7.13  $ 9.53  $ 9.57  $ 13.82
1997  $ 7.56  $ 9.53  $ 9.74  $ 14.01
1998  $ 7.46  $ 9.53  $ 9.98  $ 14.29
1999  $ 7.31  $ 9.53  $ 10.14  $ 14.64
2000  $ 7.07  $ 9.53  $ 10.20  $ 14.98
2001  $ 6.88  $ 9.53  $ 10.29  $ 15.22
2002  $ 6.77  $ 9.53  $ 10.42  $ 15.64
2003  $ 6.62  $ 9.53  $ 10.47  $ 16.15
2004  $ 6.45  $ 9.53  $ 10.41  $ 16.58
2005  $ 6.24  $ 9.53  $ 10.34  $ 16.87
2006  $ 6.04  $ 9.53  $ 10.41  $ 16.98
2007  $ 6.67  $ 9.53  $ 10.52  $ 17.10
2008  $ 7.19  $ 9.53  $ 10.51  $ 17.13
2009  $ 7.99  $ 9.53  $ 10.87  $ 17.48
2010  $ 7.86  $ 9.53  $ 10.94  $ 17.99
2011  $ 7.62  $ 9.53  $ 10.83  $ 18.02
2012  $ 7.47  $ 9.53  $ 10.77  $ 18.16
2013  $ 7.36  $ 9.53  $ 10.82  $ 18.33
2014  $ 7.25  $ 9.53  $ 10.83  $ 18.71
2015  $ 7.62  $ 9.53  $10.84  $18.94
2016 $7.95*  $ 9.53 $10.85*  $19.16*
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The data below can be saved or copied directly into Excel.

* The data labels on the productivity, average wages, and actual minimum wage lines represent the 2014 values and projected 2016 values.
** Average wages for production, non-supervisory workers, who comprise about 80% of all U.S. workers.

Note: Dollars deflated using CPI-U-RS and Congressional Budget Office inflation projections. Productivity calculated as change in net output per hour for total U.S. economy.

Source: EPI  analysis of Total Economy Productivity Data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics Labor Productivity and Costs program, Bureau of Labor Statistics Current Employment Statistics, Current Population Survey Outgoing Rotation Group public-use microdata, and U.S. Department of Labor Wage and Hour Division (2013)

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The final point I want to make is that the cost of living in Delaware is higher than in much of the rest of the country, and is actually slightly higher than the national average. Regional price parity data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis shows that overall prices are about 2.3 percent higher in Delaware than the national average.7 When you adjust for these price differences, Delaware has the fifth-lowest 20th percentile wage in the country, adjusted for purchasing power. In other words, low-wage workers in Delaware have some of the weakest spending power from their paychecks of workers anywhere in the United States.

Appendix Table

Demographic characteristics of the low-wage workforce in Delaware

Category Estimated total wage-earning workforce1 Share of total workforce Estimated low-wage workers2 Share of low-wage workers Share of workforce category that is low wage Margin of error
Total 373,582 100.0% 74,257 100.0% 19.9% +/- 1.3%
Gender
Female 186,547 49.9% 43,673 58.8% 23.4% +/- 1.9%
Male 187,036 50.1% 30,585 41.2% 16.4% +/- 1.7%
Age
20 + 359,503 96.2% 63,230 85.2% 17.6% +/- 1.3%
Under 20 14,080 3.8% 11,027 14.8% 78.3% +/- 7.3%
16 to 24 54,218 14.5% 31,628 42.6% 58.3% +/- 4.6%
25 to 39 110,134 29.5% 17,852 24.0% 16.2% +/- 2.3%
40 to 54 127,336 34.1% 13,931 18.8% 10.9% +/- 1.7%
55+ 81,895 21.9% 10,846 14.6% 13.2% +/- 2.2%
Race/ethnicity
White 250,580 67.1% 40,363 54.4% 16.1% +/- 1.4%
Black 75,157 20.1% 19,285 26.0% 25.7% +/- 3.3%
Hispanic 30,275 8.1% 12,072 16.3% 39.9% +/- 6.1%
Asian 17,570 4.7% 2,537 3.4% 14.4% +/- 5.6%
Family status
Married parent 92,134 24.7% 9,314 12.5% 10.1% +/- 2.0%
Single parent 33,474 9.0% 10,133 13.6% 30.3% +/- 5.1%
Married, no kids 104,696 28.0% 11,127 15.0% 10.6% +/- 1.8%
Unmarried, no kids 143,279 38.4% 43,683 58.8% 30.5% +/- 2.5%
Family income
Less than $20,000 29,856 8.0% 13,046 17.6% 43.7% +/- 5.8%
$20,000–$39,999 71,465 19.1% 21,305 28.7% 29.8% +/- 3.5%
$40,000–$59,999 69,014 18.5% 13,323 17.9% 19.3% +/- 3.0%
$60,000–$74,999 44,936 12.0% 7,472 10.1% 16.6% +/- 3.5%
$75,000–$99,999 58,378 15.6% 8,191 11.0% 14.0% +/- 2.8%
$100,000–$149,999 57,854 15.5% 7,032 9.5% 12.2% +/- 2.7%
$150,000 or more 42,079 11.3% 3,887 5.2% 9.2% +/- 2.8%
Industry
Construction 21,005 5.6% 2,043 2.8% 9.7% +/- 4.1%
Manufacturing 29,011 7.8% 3,733 5.0% 12.9% +/- 3.9%
Retail 41,550 11.1% 18,501 24.9% 44.5% +/- 4.9%
Wholesale 7,381 2.0% 1,356 1.8% 18.4% +/- 9.0%
Transportation and utilities 17,524 4.7% 1,477 2.0% 8.4% +/- 4.2%
Financial activities 38,079 10.2% 1,828 2.5% 4.8% +/- 2.2%
Professional and business services 33,909 9.1% 6,253 8.4% 18.4% +/- 4.2%
Education and health care 93,832 25.1% 13,487 18.2% 14.4% +/- 2.3%
Leisure and hospitality 39,061 10.5% 18,298 24.6% 46.8% +/- 5.2%
Other industry 52,230 14.0% 7,283 9.8% 13.9% +/- 3.0%
Occupation
Professional, business, science 87,244 23.4% 4,131 5.6% 4.7% +/- 1.4%
Service 72,674 19.5% 30,386 40.9% 41.8% +/- 3.7%
Sales 34,530 9.2% 13,685 18.4% 39.6% +/- 5.3%
Office, administrative support 57,301 15.3% 11,019 14.8% 19.2% +/- 3.2%
Transportation 19,585 5.2% 4,112 5.5% 21.0% +/- 5.9%
Other occupation 102,249 27.4% 10,923 14.7% 10.7% +/- 1.9%
Work status
Part time (< 20 hours) 20,271 5.4% 10,601 14.3% 52.3% +/- 7.0%
Mid time (20–34 hours) 46,789 12.5% 24,731 33.3% 52.9% +/- 4.7%
Full time (35+ hours) 306,521 82.0% 38,925 52.4% 12.7% +/- 1.2%
Education
Less than high school 27,038 7.2% 15,359 20.7% 56.8% +/- 6.1%
High school 115,549 30.9% 27,876 37.5% 24.1% +/- 2.5%
Some college 105,093 28.1% 23,759 32.0% 22.6% +/- 2.6%
Bachelor’s degree or higher 125,903 33.7% 7,264 9.8% 5.8% +/- 1.3%
Sector
For-profit 284,623 76.2% 65,787 88.6% 23.1% +/- 1.6%
Government 62,709 16.8% 3,997 5.4% 6.4% +/- 1.9%
Non-profit 26,250 7.0% 4,473 6.0% 17.0% +/- 4.6%
Children with a low-wage working parent 211,635 32,969 15.6% +/- 1.6%

Notes: 1Total estimated workers is estimated from the CPS respondents who were 16 years old or older, employed, but not self-employed and for whom either a valid hourly wage is reported or one can be imputed from weekly earnings and average weekly hours.  Consequently, this estimate represents the identifyable wage-earning workforce and tends to understate the size of the full workforce. 2Low-wage workers are defined as workers reporting wages at or below the 20th percentile wage in Delaware in 2013, approximately $10.06 per hour.

Source: EPI analysis of 2013 Current Population Survey Outgoing Rotation Group microdata from the Bureau of Labor Statistics

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Endnotes

1. Economic Policy Institute, “Family Budget Calculator,” accessed August 21, 2014, http://www.epi.org/resources/budget/.

2. EPI analysis of Current Population Survey Outgoing Rotation Group microdata, 2013.

3. See Elise Gould, Hilary Wething, Natalie Sabadish, and Nicholas Finio, What Families Need to Get By: The 2013 Update of EPI’s Family Budget Calculator, Economic Policy Institute Issue Brief #368, July 3, 2013, http://www.epi.org/publication/ib368-basic-family-budgets/.

4. All statistics on Delaware’s low-wage workforce are from the author’s analysis of Current Population Survey Outgoing Rotation Group microdata from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

5. This statistic includes non-monetary compensation, such as health insurance premiums, retirement contributions, etc. Source: EPI analysis of unpublished total economy data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Productivity and Costs program; employment data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics; wage data from the Current Population Survey; and compensation data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, State/National Income and Product Accounts public data series.

6. See David Cooper, Raising the Federal Minimum Wage to $10.10 Would Lift Wages for Millions and Provide a Modest Economic Boost, Economic Policy Institute Briefing Paper #371, December 19, 2013, http://www.epi.org/publication/raising-federal-minimum-wage-to-1010/.

7. U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, “Real Personal Income for States and Metropolitan Areas, 2008-2012” [regional price parity data tables], downloaded August 22, 2014, http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/regional/rpp/rpp_newsrelease.htm.


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