Director of Research
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Principles for the upcoming tax reform debate: Reject tax cuts for the rich and fear-mongering about deficits
April 20, 2017 | By Josh Bivens | Policy MemoProgressives won (or least witnessed) a key first victory when efforts to repeal the Affordable Care Act (ACA) collapsed. The next policy battle will be over tax reform.
March 24, 2017 | By Josh Bivens | ReportSummary The report provides a rough estimate of the potential drag on job growth that will occur if Congress enacts the American Health Care Act (AHCA), which repeals the Affordable Care Act (ACA).
March 22, 2017 | By Josh Bivens | Policy MemoTo listen to prominent Republicans asserting the need to tear up the Affordable Care Act (ACA), you would think that health plans under the ACA ask too much from patients in out-of-pocket (OOP) costs, i.e., impose excessive deductibles and copays.
March 16, 2017 | By Josh Bivens | TestimonyEPI’s Josh Bivens delivered the following testimony before the House of Representatives Subcommittee on Monetary Policy and Trade on Thursday, March 16, 2017 at 10:00 a.m.
March 15, 2017 | By Josh Bivens | BlogThe Federal Reserve’s announcement today that it would raise short-term interest rates is not surprising, but is disappointing. As always, the issue is less about the direct impact of today’s 0.25 percentage point hike, and more about what this hike means, especially given that it has come relatively hard on the heels of a hike in December.
Senator Baldwin is right: AHCA is particularly great for health insurance CEOs, bad for almost everybody else
March 14, 2017 | By Josh Bivens | BlogThere are plenty of outrageously bad things about the American Health Care Act (AHCA), the recently proposed Republican replacement for the Affordable Care Act (ACA).
A ‘high-pressure economy’ can help boost productivity and provide even more ‘room to run’ for the recovery
March 12, 2017 | By Josh Bivens | ReportSummary The last four years have seen an extraordinarily sharp deceleration in productivity growth (the average amount of income generated in an hour of work in the economy).
Janet Yellen, not Donald Trump, is far more likely to decide whether or not we reach genuine full employment in 2017
March 9, 2017 | By Josh Bivens | BlogIn recent weeks, a number of stories have been written about the Trump administration’s excessively rosy projections for economic growth in coming years.
February 28, 2017 | By Josh Bivens | BlogThe battle over the future of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) has clearly begun in earnest. A striking feature of this debate is the disconnect between commonly cited complaints about the ACA and prescriptions offered by Republican lawmakers.
Brad DeLong is far too lenient on trade policy’s role in generating economic distress for American workers
February 14, 2017 | By Josh Bivens | BlogAmerican workers (and the policy wonks who criticize current trade policy on their behalf) are correct to think that the integration of the U.S. economy and the global economy has been done on terms that are bad for many—if not most—of them.
February 1, 2017 | By Josh Bivens | BlogThe Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep the interest rates it controls unchanged today. This decision would be welcome. It’s important, however, to not just applaud the decision, but to explain why it was the right one.
January 31, 2017 | By Josh Bivens | ReportSummary The Republican-led effort to repeal the Affordable Care Act (ACA) includes two large fiscal changes: a tax cut and a spending cut.1 Because the U.S.
News from EPI › Economy continues steady but slow growth with 1.9 percent expansion in last quarter of 2016
January 27, 2017 | By Josh Bivens | Economic IndicatorsThe Bureau of Economic Analysis reported this morning that gross domestic product (GDP, the widest measure of economic activity) grew at a 1.9 percent annualized rate in the last quarter of 2016, down from the 3.5 percent rate in the 3rd quarter.
President Trump’s alternative facts have foreigners and bureaucrats, not the top 1 percent, reaping the gains from economic growth
January 24, 2017 | By Josh Bivens | BlogIt’s no secret that we at EPI have been skeptical about President Trump’s commitment to a policy agenda that would deliver the goods for low and middle-income Americans.
January 19, 2017 | By Josh Bivens | VideoJosh Bivens appeared on C-SPAN’s “Washington Journal” to talk about the economic policy decisions of the Obama administration and the impact they’ve had on job creation, unemployment, wages, and the federal debt.
January 10, 2017 | By Josh Bivens | BlogThe closing days of the Obama years give us a chance to assess the president and his administration across a range of issues.
December 14, 2016 | By Josh Bivens | Press ReleasesToday’s decision by the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates another 0.25 percent is a mistake. The point of raising rates should be to slow an economy that has been growing too fast—putting too much downward pressure on unemployment and empowering workers to demand and achieve wage gains in excess of productivity.
How the Fed can fix one way the economy really is rigged: Restore the pursuit of full employment as their job number one
December 12, 2016 | By Josh Bivens | BlogThe election of Donald Trump alerted many to what should have been obvious long ago: the U.S. economy has failed to deliver the goods to vast swathes of American families for decades.
December 8, 2016 | By Josh Bivens | BlogLast week I argued that the Trump-brokered deal with Carrier industries to keep 700 jobs in Indiana shouldn’t be treated as a triumph, but instead as a sellout of those unlucky workers who hadn’t managed to make themselves useful as PR props for Trump.
The moral of the Trump/Carrier deal is clear: if you’re useful to Trump, he might be willing to throw other workers overboard to help you
December 1, 2016 | By Josh Bivens | BlogDonald Trump is getting lots of mileage out of the alleged deal that has been struck to keep a Carrier plant from moving to Mexico from Indiana.
November 23, 2016 | By Josh Bivens | BlogAcross a broad range of crucial issues, the incoming Trump administration appears likely to betray the promises he made to the American middle class. Here’s a rough sketch of how.
Fed should hold steady—the economy had “room to run” over past year and may well have more in the next year
October 31, 2016 | By Josh Bivens | BlogThe Fed’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will debate again this week whether or not they should raise interest rates to slow the economic recovery in an effort to forestall potential inflation.
October 28, 2016 | By Josh Bivens | Economic IndicatorsData released by Bureau of Economic Analysis today showed that gross domestic product (GDP)—the widest measure of economic activity—grew at a 2.9 percent (annualized) rate in the third quarter of 2016.
September 27, 2016 | By Josh Bivens | BlogThere’s obviously plenty to criticize regarding Donald Trump’s claims and characterizations about the problems facing the U.S. economy during last night’s debate.
September 20, 2016 | By Josh Bivens | BlogThis week the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will meet to decide whether or not to raise interest rates. By now this is a familiar debate.